肖鄂,程妮,宁涛. 基于三级层次分析的注水开发效果模糊评价[J]. 石油钻采工艺,2025,47(1):60-69, 104. DOI: 10.13639/j.odpt.202502003
引用本文: 肖鄂,程妮,宁涛. 基于三级层次分析的注水开发效果模糊评价[J]. 石油钻采工艺,2025,47(1):60-69, 104. DOI: 10.13639/j.odpt.202502003
XIAO E, CHENG Ni, NING Tao. Fuzzy evaluation of water injection development effect based on three-level hierarchical analysis[J]. Oil Drilling & Production Technology, 2025, 47(1): 60-69, 104. DOI: 10.13639/j.odpt.202502003
Citation: XIAO E, CHENG Ni, NING Tao. Fuzzy evaluation of water injection development effect based on three-level hierarchical analysis[J]. Oil Drilling & Production Technology, 2025, 47(1): 60-69, 104. DOI: 10.13639/j.odpt.202502003

基于三级层次分析的注水开发效果模糊评价

Fuzzy evaluation of water injection development effect based on three-level hierarchical analysis

  • 摘要: 为精准、定量评价延长油田不同开发阶段、不同类型低渗-特低渗油藏的注水开发效果,指导后续调整治理。立足油田开发生命周期,从技术政策、注采系统、开发指标3个维度遴选10项评价指标,根据延长油田低渗-特低渗特征和滞后、温和注水开发方式,分中、高含水阶段制定各指标5级评价标准,建立适合延长油田的注水开发效果评价指标体系。综合应用层次分析法和模糊评价法,计算评价指标权重、构建注水开发效果评价矩阵、进行模糊变换运算,对延长油田6个代表性油藏注水开发效果展开比较评价。结果表明:开发指标、注采系统、技术政策在评价体系中权重依次降低,基于油藏地质特征、注水开发方式和开发阶段建立的评价指标体系和模糊评价方法能够客观、全面评价油藏注水开发效果,郝家坪、甄家峁等5个区块评价结果为好,丰富川区块评价结果为较差,符合油田开发实际。该评价方法对不同类型、不同开发阶段的油藏之间注水开发效果比较评价具有较好的借鉴意义。

     

    Abstract: To accurately and quantitatively evaluate the water injection development effect of different types of low-permeability and ultra-low-permeability reservoirs at different development stages in the Yanchang Oilfield and guide subsequent adjustment and treatment, based on the oilfield’s development life cycle, 10 evaluation indexs were selected from three dimensions: technical policy, injection and production system, and development indexs. According to the characteristics of low-permeability and ultra-low-permeability reservoirs in the Yanchang Oilfield and the lagging and moderate water injection development mode, five-level evaluation standards for each index were formulated for the medium and high water cut stages, establishing an evaluation index system for water injection development effect suitable for the Yanchang Oilfield. By comprehensively applying the analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy evaluation method, the weights of the evaluation indexs were calculated, the evaluation matrix of water injection development effect was constructed, and fuzzy transformation operations were performed to conduct a comparative evaluation of the water injection development effect of six representative reservoirs in the Yanchang Oilfield. The results show that the weights of development indexs, injection-production system, and technical policy in the evaluation system decrease in sequence. The evaluation index system and fuzzy evaluation method established based on reservoir geological characteristics, water injection development mode, and development stage can objectively and comprehensively evaluate the water injection development effect of reservoirs. The evaluation results of five blocks, including Haojiaping and Zhenjiamao, are good, while that of Fengfuchuan block is poor, which is in line with the actual development of the oilfield. This evaluation method has good reference significance for the comparative evaluation of water injection development effect among different types and development stages of reservoirs.

     

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