杨超,孙海桐,谭金华,等. 基于Qwen模型的煤层气排采井产液量预测[J]. 石油钻采工艺,2025,47(6):765-772. DOI: 10.13639/j.odpt.202507027
引用本文: 杨超,孙海桐,谭金华,等. 基于Qwen模型的煤层气排采井产液量预测[J]. 石油钻采工艺,2025,47(6):765-772. DOI: 10.13639/j.odpt.202507027
YANG Chao, SUN Haitong, TAN Jinhua, et al. Liquid production prediction for coalbed methane production wells based on the Qwen model[J]. Oil Drilling & Production Technology, 2025, 47(6): 765-772. DOI: 10.13639/j.odpt.202507027
Citation: YANG Chao, SUN Haitong, TAN Jinhua, et al. Liquid production prediction for coalbed methane production wells based on the Qwen model[J]. Oil Drilling & Production Technology, 2025, 47(6): 765-772. DOI: 10.13639/j.odpt.202507027

基于Qwen模型的煤层气排采井产液量预测

Liquid production prediction for coalbed methane production wells based on the Qwen model

  • 摘要: 为解决传统示功图法在煤层气排采井产液量预测中存在的单模态数据局限及结果可解释性差问题,提出了一种基于Qwen大语言模型的示功图法产液量预测模型。该方法采用统一的多模态数据处理框架:将示功图图像数据作为图片嵌入,将冲次、泵径、泵深等工程参数作为文本嵌入。基于Qwen的多模态融合机制,通过大模型的跨模态注意力层实现特征的自适应融合,最终形成以多模态数据为输入,产液量预测附加解释性故障诊断报告为输出的交互方式。在提示词设计方面将质量守恒方程转化为自然语言提示模板,通过提示微调引导大模型输出符合工程规律的预测结果。某区块的测试结果表明,该模型对不同泵径(32~56 mm)及供液不足、结蜡等复杂工况的产液量预测误差均低于7.85%,为煤层气排采井的智能化管理提供了高效、可靠的技术支持。

     

    Abstract: To address the limitations of single-modal data and poor interpretability in traditional indicator diagram methods-based liquid production prediction for coalbed methane production wells, this study proposes a Qwen large language model-based indicator diagram prediction model for liquid production. A unified multimodal data processing approach is employed: indicator diagram image data are embedded as images, while such engineering parameters as stroke frequency, pump diameter and pump depth are embedded as texts. Leveraging Qwen's multimodal fusion mechanism, adaptive feature fusion is achieved through the large model's cross-modal attention layer. This establishes an interactive mode where multimodal data are taken as inputs and liquid production predictions as outputs along with interpretable fault diagnosis reports. In terms of prompt design, mass conservation equations are transformed into natural language prompt templates, and through prompt fine-tuning, the large model is guided to generate prediction results compliant with engineering principles. In testing in a specific block, the model demonstrated liquid production prediction errors below 7.85% across varying pump diameters (32–56 mm) and complex operating conditions such as insufficient fluid supply and wax deposition. This provides efficient and reliable technical support for the intelligent management of coalbed methane production wells.

     

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