王峰,段永强,唐鸿斌,等. 瞬态波动压力计算模型与起下钻临界速度智能决策方法[J]. 石油钻采工艺,2025,47(6):695-703. DOI: 10.13639/j.odpt.202508033
引用本文: 王峰,段永强,唐鸿斌,等. 瞬态波动压力计算模型与起下钻临界速度智能决策方法[J]. 石油钻采工艺,2025,47(6):695-703. DOI: 10.13639/j.odpt.202508033
WANG Feng, DUAN Yongqiang, TANG Hongbin, et al. Transient surge/swab pressure calculation model and intelligent decision-making method for critical tripping speed in drilling and completion[J]. Oil Drilling & Production Technology, 2025, 47(6): 695-703. DOI: 10.13639/j.odpt.202508033
Citation: WANG Feng, DUAN Yongqiang, TANG Hongbin, et al. Transient surge/swab pressure calculation model and intelligent decision-making method for critical tripping speed in drilling and completion[J]. Oil Drilling & Production Technology, 2025, 47(6): 695-703. DOI: 10.13639/j.odpt.202508033

瞬态波动压力计算模型与起下钻临界速度智能决策方法

Transient surge/swab pressure calculation model and intelligent decision-making method for critical tripping speed in drilling and completion

  • 摘要: 钻完井起下钻瞬态波动压力是深井窄安全密度窗口地层钻井安全问题的核心诱因。基于不稳定流动理论,建立了起下钻瞬态波动压力计算模型,采用特征线方法进行求解,并利用现场实测数据对模型进行验证。进一步地,以地层压力剖面为约束,基于罚函数法构建了起下钻速度决策模型,并集成遗传算法(GA)、粒子群优化(PSO)与灰狼优化(GWO)等3种群智能优化算法,形成了起下钻临界速度智能决策方法。研究结果表明:模拟瞬态波动压力与实测数据的总体趋势吻合,模型能够有效反映井下波动压力的实际变化规律,具备良好的整体预测能力;GA、PSO、GWO算法优化起下钻速度时,ECD始终处于安全密度窗口内,表明3种算法均可满足安全密度窗口约束条件的限制;通过对50次重复实验的统计指标(均值、极差、标准差、置信区间)进行对比分析,发现GWO算法在求解性能与稳定性方面均表现最佳,PSO算法次之,GA算法相对最弱。形成的起下钻临界速度智能决策方法可以为起下钻作业提供科学指导,在保障钻井安全的同时,有效提升作业效率。

     

    Abstract: Transient surge/swab pressure during tripping in drilling and completion is a core factor triggering safety risks in deep wells with narrow safe mud weight windows. Based on unsteady flow theory, a transient surge/swab pressure calculation model during tripping was established and solved using the method of characteristics. The model was validated against field-measured data. Furthermore, constrained by the formation pressure profile, a tripping speed decision-making model was constructed based on the penalty function method, integrating such three swarm intelligence optimization algorithms as Genetic Algorithm(GA), Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO), and Grey Wolf Optimizer(GWO) to formulate an intelligent decision-making method for critical tripping speed. The results demonstrate that the simulated transient surge pressure aligns well with measured data in overall trends, indicating the model’s effectiveness in capturing downhole pressure dynamics and its strong predictive capability. All three algorithms (GA, PSO, and GWO) maintained Equivalent Circulating Density (ECD) within the safe mud weight window, satisfying the constraints of the safe mud weight window. Statistical metrics from 50 repeated experiments, including mean, range, standard deviation, and confidence intervals, consistently identified GWO as the top-performing algorithm in terms of solution quality and safety, followed by PSO, while GA exhibited the poorest performance and lowest stability. The developed intelligent decision-making method for critical tripping speed provides scientific guidance for tripping operations, ensuring safety and enhancing operational efficiency.

     

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